{"id":33,"date":"2017-08-27T16:05:27","date_gmt":"2017-08-27T20:05:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/chapter\/1-4-we-study-earth-using-the-scientific-method\/"},"modified":"2023-07-04T12:40:44","modified_gmt":"2023-07-04T16:40:44","slug":"we-study-earth-using-the-scientific-method","status":"publish","type":"chapter","link":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/chapter\/we-study-earth-using-the-scientific-method\/","title":{"raw":"1.4 We Study Earth Using the Scientific Method","rendered":"1.4 We Study Earth Using the Scientific Method"},"content":{"raw":"<h1>Science Is a Process<\/h1>\r\nSome people consider science to be a set of facts about nature, but a better description of science is that it's a means of collecting those facts in as reliable a way as possible. Carl Sagan, an astronomer and author, put it this way:\r\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><em>Science is more than a body of knowledge. It is a way of thinking; a way of skeptically interrogating the universe with a fine understanding of human fallibility.<\/em> (The Charlie Rose Show, 1996)<\/p>\r\nThe understanding of human fallibility that Sagan refers to is the awareness that human brains take shortcuts in reasoning. Sometimes we're conscious of these shortcuts, but other times we're unaware. An example would be the tendency to have more confidence in a fact that is repeated by multiple sources than in a fact stated only once. If you do an Internet search and see the same fact repeated on many websites, it might seem that the fact has been independently confirmed by many people. However, it could simply be that everyone used the same Wikipedia article for their research. The <strong>scientific method<\/strong> is a way to reduce the likelihood that errors in reasoning will lead to flawed conclusions.\r\n\r\nIn its most basic form, the scientific method involves formulating an idea about how the world works\u2014a <strong>hypothesis<\/strong>\u2014and then finding a way to test it to see if it\u2019s actually true, and should be accepted.\r\n\r\nThe term <strong>theory<\/strong> is often used in everyday language as a synonym for hypothesis, but that's not what a scientist means when they talk about a theory. What they're referring to is a hypothesis that has been tested over and over again, and passed every single test. Saying that an idea is a hypothesis is like suggesting, \u201cMaybe the world works this way.\u201d Saying that an idea is a theory is like concluding, \u201cIt\u2019s extremely unlikely that the world works in a way other than this.\u201d\r\n\r\nAnother term commonly used to describe a scientific idea of great certainty is <strong>law<\/strong>. But don\u2019t confuse a law with a theory. Whereas theories are explanations of phenomena, laws are descriptions that apply under specific circumstances. For example, the law of conservation of mass tells us that mass is never lost or gained in physical interactions. An object might break into two, but the total mass of the two parts is the same as the mass of the original. The law doesn\u2019t explain <em>why<\/em> mass works that way, but it is a reliable rule to use when doing physics calculations.\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\r\n\r\n<strong>Theory, Hypothesis, or Law?<\/strong>\r\n<div class=\"offline\">\r\n\r\n<strong>Complete this summary of theory, hypothesis, and law by putting the words into the correct blank.<\/strong>\r\n\r\n\u201c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" aria-label=\"blank\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> , this should work\u201d is how people sometimes express uncertainty about whether they will be successful or not, but this isn't the correct terminology.\r\n\r\nIf they mean that they're trying out an untested idea, it would be more accurate to say, \u201c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" aria-label=\"blank\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> , this should work.\u201d\r\n\r\nIf they're worried about whether reality will match up with predictions that are based on mathematical descriptions of physical phenomena, what they really mean is, \u201c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" aria-label=\"blank\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> , this should work.\u201d\r\n\r\nFill-in-the-blank options:\r\n<ul class=\"threecolumn\">\r\n \t<li>Hypothetically<\/li>\r\n \t<li>In theory<\/li>\r\n \t<li>By law<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<strong>To check your answers, navigate to the below link to view the interactive version of this activity.<\/strong>\r\n\r\n<\/div>\r\n[h5p id=\"16\"]\r\n<\/div>\r\n<h1>An Example of the Scientific Method at Work<\/h1>\r\nImagine a field trip to the stream shown in Figure 1.6. Notice that the rocks in and along the stream are rounded off rather than having sharp edges. We might hypothesize that the rocks were rounded because as the stream carried them, they crashed into each other and pieces broke off.\r\n\r\n[caption id=\"attachment_32\" align=\"aligncenter\" width=\"650\"]<img class=\"wp-image-32\" src=\"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/kzlab\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods.jpg\" alt=\"A group of people stand on the rocky edge of a stream. There is a light dusting of snow on the ground, and large rounded rocks everywhere.\" width=\"650\" height=\"548\" \/> <strong>Figure 1.6<\/strong> Hypothesizing about the origin of round rocks in a stream. <em>Source: Steven Earle (2015) CC BY 4.0 <a href=\"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/geology\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/110\/2015\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">view source<\/a><\/em>[\/caption]\r\n\r\nIf that hypothesis is correct, then the further we go downstream, the rounder and smaller the rocks should be. Going upstream we should find that the rocks are more angular and larger. If we were patient we could also test the hypothesis by marking specific rocks and then checking back to see if those rocks have become smaller and more rounded as they moved downstream.\r\n\r\nIf the predictions turn out to be correct, we must still be careful about how much certainty to attach to our hypothesis.\u00a0 Although our hypothesis might seem to us to be the only reasonable explanation, someone could argue that we have the mechanism wrong, and the rocks weren't rounded by bumping into each other.\r\n\r\nIf our experiment didn't specifically check for the mechanism (e.g., by looking to see if chips fall off the rocks and the rocks are made smoother) then we would have to acknowledge the possibility.\u00a0 We needn't abandon the hypothesis as a useful tool for making predictions, but it is necessary to be open to the possibility that other things might be going on. If someone demonstrates conclusively that our hypothesis is wrong, then we have to discard the hypothesis and come up with a better one.\r\n\r\nA good hypothesis is testable.\u00a0 Someone might argue that an extraterrestrial organization creates rounded rocks and places them in streams when nobody is looking. There's no practical way to test this hypothesis to confirm it, and there's no way to prove it false. Even if we never see aliens at work, we still can't say they haven't been, because according to the hypothesis they only work when people aren't looking. Compare this to our original hypothesis which allows us to make testable predictions such as rocks getting smaller and rounder downstream. Our original hypothesis gives us a way to see how realistic it is, whereas the alien hypothesis gives us no way to know if it makes sense or not.\r\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\r\n\r\n<strong>Lucky Socks Science<\/strong>\r\n<div class=\"h5p\">[h5p id=\"17\"]<\/div>\r\n<div class=\"offline\">\r\n\r\nCan these hypotheses about lucky socks be tested?<img class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1831\" src=\"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/17-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"328\" \/>\r\n<ul>\r\n \t<li>Hypothesis 1: I won yesterday\u2019s lottery because I was wearing my lucky socks.<\/li>\r\n \t<li>Hypothesis 2: Wearing lucky socks will improve my chances of winning the lottery.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>","rendered":"<h1>Science Is a Process<\/h1>\n<p>Some people consider science to be a set of facts about nature, but a better description of science is that it&#8217;s a means of collecting those facts in as reliable a way as possible. Carl Sagan, an astronomer and author, put it this way:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 40px;\"><em>Science is more than a body of knowledge. It is a way of thinking; a way of skeptically interrogating the universe with a fine understanding of human fallibility.<\/em> (The Charlie Rose Show, 1996)<\/p>\n<p>The understanding of human fallibility that Sagan refers to is the awareness that human brains take shortcuts in reasoning. Sometimes we&#8217;re conscious of these shortcuts, but other times we&#8217;re unaware. An example would be the tendency to have more confidence in a fact that is repeated by multiple sources than in a fact stated only once. If you do an Internet search and see the same fact repeated on many websites, it might seem that the fact has been independently confirmed by many people. However, it could simply be that everyone used the same Wikipedia article for their research. The <strong>scientific method<\/strong> is a way to reduce the likelihood that errors in reasoning will lead to flawed conclusions.<\/p>\n<p>In its most basic form, the scientific method involves formulating an idea about how the world works\u2014a <strong>hypothesis<\/strong>\u2014and then finding a way to test it to see if it\u2019s actually true, and should be accepted.<\/p>\n<p>The term <strong>theory<\/strong> is often used in everyday language as a synonym for hypothesis, but that&#8217;s not what a scientist means when they talk about a theory. What they&#8217;re referring to is a hypothesis that has been tested over and over again, and passed every single test. Saying that an idea is a hypothesis is like suggesting, \u201cMaybe the world works this way.\u201d Saying that an idea is a theory is like concluding, \u201cIt\u2019s extremely unlikely that the world works in a way other than this.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Another term commonly used to describe a scientific idea of great certainty is <strong>law<\/strong>. But don\u2019t confuse a law with a theory. Whereas theories are explanations of phenomena, laws are descriptions that apply under specific circumstances. For example, the law of conservation of mass tells us that mass is never lost or gained in physical interactions. An object might break into two, but the total mass of the two parts is the same as the mass of the original. The law doesn\u2019t explain <em>why<\/em> mass works that way, but it is a reliable rule to use when doing physics calculations.<\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\n<p><strong>Theory, Hypothesis, or Law?<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"offline\">\n<p><strong>Complete this summary of theory, hypothesis, and law by putting the words into the correct blank.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" aria-label=\"blank\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> , this should work\u201d is how people sometimes express uncertainty about whether they will be successful or not, but this isn&#8217;t the correct terminology.<\/p>\n<p>If they mean that they&#8217;re trying out an untested idea, it would be more accurate to say, \u201c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" aria-label=\"blank\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> , this should work.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>If they&#8217;re worried about whether reality will match up with predictions that are based on mathematical descriptions of physical phenomena, what they really mean is, \u201c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\" aria-label=\"blank\">\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/span> , this should work.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Fill-in-the-blank options:<\/p>\n<ul class=\"threecolumn\">\n<li>Hypothetically<\/li>\n<li>In theory<\/li>\n<li>By law<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>To check your answers, navigate to the below link to view the interactive version of this activity.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div id=\"h5p-16\">\n<div class=\"h5p-iframe-wrapper\"><iframe id=\"h5p-iframe-16\" class=\"h5p-iframe\" data-content-id=\"16\" style=\"height:1px\" src=\"about:blank\" frameBorder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" title=\"Complete the summary: Hypothesis, theory, law\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<h1>An Example of the Scientific Method at Work<\/h1>\n<p>Imagine a field trip to the stream shown in Figure 1.6. Notice that the rocks in and along the stream are rounded off rather than having sharp edges. We might hypothesize that the rocks were rounded because as the stream carried them, they crashed into each other and pieces broke off.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_32\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-32\" style=\"width: 650px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-32\" src=\"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/kzlab\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods.jpg\" alt=\"A group of people stand on the rocky edge of a stream. There is a light dusting of snow on the ground, and large rounded rocks everywhere.\" width=\"650\" height=\"548\" srcset=\"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods.jpg 875w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods-300x253.jpg 300w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods-768x648.jpg 768w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods-65x55.jpg 65w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods-225x190.jpg 225w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods-350x295.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 650px) 100vw, 650px\" \/><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-32\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>Figure 1.6<\/strong> Hypothesizing about the origin of round rocks in a stream. <em>Source: Steven Earle (2015) CC BY 4.0 <a href=\"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/geology\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/110\/2015\/08\/What-are-scientific-methods.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">view source<\/a><\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>If that hypothesis is correct, then the further we go downstream, the rounder and smaller the rocks should be. Going upstream we should find that the rocks are more angular and larger. If we were patient we could also test the hypothesis by marking specific rocks and then checking back to see if those rocks have become smaller and more rounded as they moved downstream.<\/p>\n<p>If the predictions turn out to be correct, we must still be careful about how much certainty to attach to our hypothesis.\u00a0 Although our hypothesis might seem to us to be the only reasonable explanation, someone could argue that we have the mechanism wrong, and the rocks weren&#8217;t rounded by bumping into each other.<\/p>\n<p>If our experiment didn&#8217;t specifically check for the mechanism (e.g., by looking to see if chips fall off the rocks and the rocks are made smoother) then we would have to acknowledge the possibility.\u00a0 We needn&#8217;t abandon the hypothesis as a useful tool for making predictions, but it is necessary to be open to the possibility that other things might be going on. If someone demonstrates conclusively that our hypothesis is wrong, then we have to discard the hypothesis and come up with a better one.<\/p>\n<p>A good hypothesis is testable.\u00a0 Someone might argue that an extraterrestrial organization creates rounded rocks and places them in streams when nobody is looking. There&#8217;s no practical way to test this hypothesis to confirm it, and there&#8217;s no way to prove it false. Even if we never see aliens at work, we still can&#8217;t say they haven&#8217;t been, because according to the hypothesis they only work when people aren&#8217;t looking. Compare this to our original hypothesis which allows us to make testable predictions such as rocks getting smaller and rounder downstream. Our original hypothesis gives us a way to see how realistic it is, whereas the alien hypothesis gives us no way to know if it makes sense or not.<\/p>\n<div class=\"textbox shaded\">\n<p><strong>Lucky Socks Science<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"h5p\">\n<div id=\"h5p-17\">\n<div class=\"h5p-iframe-wrapper\"><iframe id=\"h5p-iframe-17\" class=\"h5p-iframe\" data-content-id=\"17\" style=\"height:1px\" src=\"about:blank\" frameBorder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" title=\"Can these hypotheses about lucky socks be tested?\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"offline\">\n<p>Can these hypotheses about lucky socks be tested?<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1831\" src=\"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/17-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"328\" srcset=\"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/17-1.jpg 1023w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/17-1-300x197.jpg 300w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/17-1-768x504.jpg 768w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/17-1-65x43.jpg 65w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/17-1-225x148.jpg 225w, https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/360\/2017\/08\/17-1-350x230.jpg 350w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Hypothesis 1: I won yesterday\u2019s lottery because I was wearing my lucky socks.<\/li>\n<li>Hypothesis 2: Wearing lucky socks will improve my chances of winning the lottery.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":123,"menu_order":4,"template":"","meta":{"pb_show_title":"on","pb_short_title":"","pb_subtitle":"","pb_authors":[],"pb_section_license":""},"chapter-type":[],"contributor":[],"license":[],"class_list":["post-33","chapter","type-chapter","status-publish","hentry"],"part":21,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/33","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/chapter"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/123"}],"version-history":[{"count":13,"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/33\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1891,"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/33\/revisions\/1891"}],"part":[{"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/parts\/21"}],"metadata":[{"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/33\/metadata\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"chapter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapter-type?post=33"},{"taxonomy":"contributor","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributor?post=33"},{"taxonomy":"license","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opentextbc.ca\/physicalgeologyh5p\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/license?post=33"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}